DJ MooreNT

BUF · WR · bye 7 · age 29.4 · sample: 85 games, 2021-2025

NT — new team. 2026 team differs from where this history was produced. The M0 model deliberately does not adjust for the move yet (that arrives in M1); treat with judgment.

Rank #90 overall · WR37 · 16.1 of 17 games expected

Simulated season-total distribution

10,000 simulated 2× PPR outcomes — the bars are how often each point range occurred. Trust the median more than the band width (see methodology).

Percentiles

Projected season total at each percentile (points).

5th	158
10th · floor	170
25th	191
50th · median	215
75th	239
90th · ceiling	262
95th	275

Value over replacement & market

VOR = points above a freely-available WR in a 10-team league.

VOR (median)	-20.6
VOR floor / ceiling	-65.2 / 26.6
Overall / positional rank	#90 · WR37
ADP (proxy)	64.7
Value vs ADP	−25.3

ADP: Fantasy Football Calculator · 2× PPR uses the PPR list as a proxy

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M1c-roles-v0.4.0 · 10,000 sims/player · build 69b6671 · generated 2026-07-24T03:50:47Z · Data: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0)