Luther Burden IIILS

CHI · WR · bye 10 · age 22.7 · sample: 15 games, 2021-2025

LS — low sample. fewer than 16 NFL games in the 2021–2025 window. Projection is blended toward a positional archetype (same position and draft capital) in proportion to the missing sample.

Rank #140 overall · WR55 · 14.7 of 17 games expected

Simulated season-total distribution

10,000 simulated 2× PPR outcomes — the bars are how often each point range occurred. Trust the median more than the band width (see methodology).

Percentiles

Projected season total at each percentile (points).

5th	113
10th · floor	125
25th	147
50th · median	172
75th	200
90th · ceiling	225
95th	242

Value over replacement & market

VOR = points above a freely-available WR in a 10-team league.

VOR (median)	-63.1
VOR floor / ceiling	-110.6 / -9.9
Overall / positional rank	#140 · WR55
ADP (proxy)	45.9
Value vs ADP	−94.1

ADP: Fantasy Football Calculator · 2× PPR uses the PPR list as a proxy

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M1c-roles-v0.4.0 · 10,000 sims/player · build 69b6671 · generated 2026-07-24T03:50:47Z · Data: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0)