Updated Oct 3, 2026

Trends

Each system is a written rule, tested on closing lines from 2016 to 2024 and checked on 2025, which it never saw. Only a registered system flags plays, graded in public at 1 unit flat. The three records are kept apart and never added together.

Home dogs of a touchdown or more

SYS-0001CandidateSide

Take the home team against the spread when it is getting 7 or more points.

Backtest
2016 to 2024, closing lines
101/19152.9%
+1.03u ROI +0.5%
4 pushes
Holdout
2025, untouched
18/2766.7%
+7.37u ROI +27.3%
Live
2026, graded weekly
Not registered, no live plays
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Data: nflverse
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